Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Türkiye Sigorta Anonim Sirketi (TURSG.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$100.39 - $464.78$225.73
Multi-Stage$52.14 - $57.07$54.56
Blended Fair Value$140.14
Current Price$9.28
Upside1,410.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.23%0.00%0.130.020.070.070.070.040.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--542.86%-70.66%7.55%-12.10%86.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%0.35%6.09%10.52%10.50%15.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,527.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,527.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,505.542,190.961,314.58
Cash Retained (M)14,527.7014,527.7014,527.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,505.54-2,190.96-1,314.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,022.1612,336.7313,213.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,500.007,500.007,500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.471.641.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.471.641.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.872.042.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$100.39$225.73$464.78
Upside / Downside981.78%2,332.39%4,908.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,527.7018,667.0019,880.3521,172.5722,548.7924,014.4624,734.90
Payout Ratio17.12%31.69%46.27%60.85%75.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,000.005,916.069,198.5312,882.7317,007.0121,613.0222,879.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,453.425,505.115,556.80
Year 2 PV (M)7,816.137,965.008,115.28
Year 3 PV (M)10,090.6210,380.2810,675.44
Year 4 PV (M)12,279.3212,751.5513,237.27
Year 5 PV (M)14,384.6215,079.4015,800.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)341,061.20357,534.59374,638.44
Equity Value (M)391,085.31409,215.93428,024.01
Shares Outstanding (M)7,500.007,500.007,500.00
Fair Value$52.14$54.56$57.07
Upside / Downside461.90%487.95%514.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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