Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$437.81 - $2,062.00$967.39
Multi-Stage$232.78 - $254.58$243.48
Blended Fair Value$605.44
Current Price$239.38
Upside152.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.880.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--341.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.08%0.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,870.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,870.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,374.001,483.75890.25
Cash Retained (M)7,870.007,870.007,870.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,374.00-1,483.75-890.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,496.006,386.256,979.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,144.841,144.841,144.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.805.586.10
LTM Dividend per Share3.493.493.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.805.586.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.299.079.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$437.81$967.39$2,062.00
Upside / Downside82.89%304.12%761.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,870.0012,641.5513,463.2514,338.3615,270.3616,262.9316,750.82
Payout Ratio33.70%44.96%56.22%67.48%78.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,000.005,683.487,568.919,675.4312,023.8314,636.6415,494.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,237.375,287.025,336.66
Year 2 PV (M)6,427.356,549.786,673.35
Year 3 PV (M)7,571.277,788.618,010.08
Year 4 PV (M)8,670.429,003.869,346.83
Year 5 PV (M)9,726.0910,195.8610,683.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)228,866.25239,920.58251,397.98
Equity Value (M)266,498.76278,745.71291,448.52
Shares Outstanding (M)1,144.841,144.841,144.84
Fair Value$232.78$243.48$254.58
Upside / Downside-2.76%1.71%6.35%

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