Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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TEGNA Inc. (TGNA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.22 - $130.79$75.30
Multi-Stage$42.69 - $46.75$44.68
Blended Fair Value$59.99
Current Price$20.33
Upside195.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.06%-7.70%0.500.510.520.480.470.370.370.550.751.03
YoY Growth---2.60%-1.44%8.02%2.62%26.13%0.55%-33.14%-25.87%-27.38%-7.62%
Dividend Yield--2.75%3.50%3.08%2.16%2.50%3.44%2.63%4.87%4.56%6.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)264.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.0543.1625.89
Cash Retained (M)264.95264.95264.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.05-43.16-25.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)195.89221.79239.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)162.49162.49162.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.361.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.361.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.701.861.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate4.06%5.06%6.06%
Fair Value$49.22$75.30$130.79
Upside / Downside142.10%270.41%543.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.26362.74381.09400.38420.65441.94455.20
Payout Ratio23.26%36.61%49.96%63.30%76.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.32132.80190.38253.46322.44397.75421.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate4.06%5.06%6.06%
Year 1 PV (M)122.18123.35124.53
Year 2 PV (M)161.16164.27167.41
Year 3 PV (M)197.40203.15209.00
Year 4 PV (M)231.04240.05249.32
Year 5 PV (M)262.22275.06288.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,962.776,254.836,558.22
Equity Value (M)6,936.767,260.717,596.89
Shares Outstanding (M)162.49162.49162.49
Fair Value$42.69$44.68$46.75
Upside / Downside109.98%119.79%129.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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