Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Teradyne, Inc. (TER)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.02 - $35.98$29.69
Multi-Stage$25.23 - $27.57$26.38
Blended Fair Value$28.03
Current Price$134.33
Upside-79.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.51%7.40%0.470.420.430.410.410.380.420.340.300.31
YoY Growth--12.59%-2.63%5.66%-0.76%8.44%-8.94%21.42%14.04%-4.13%35.51%
Dividend Yield--0.57%0.37%0.40%0.34%0.31%0.69%1.00%0.78%0.98%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)443.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)366.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.6255.3833.23
Cash Retained (M)366.02366.02366.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.62-55.38-33.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)277.40310.63332.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)161.34161.34161.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.721.932.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.721.932.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.202.402.54
WACC / Discount Rate11.89%11.89%11.89%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Fair Value$24.02$29.69$35.98
Upside / Downside-82.12%-77.90%-73.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)443.08458.62474.70491.35508.58526.42542.21
Payout Ratio17.39%31.91%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.06146.36220.43299.51383.87473.78501.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.89%11.89%11.89%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Year 1 PV (M)129.55130.81132.08
Year 2 PV (M)172.70176.09179.51
Year 3 PV (M)207.71213.84220.10
Year 4 PV (M)235.63244.96254.57
Year 5 PV (M)257.41270.22283.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,066.993,219.533,378.09
Equity Value (M)4,069.994,255.464,447.87
Shares Outstanding (M)161.34161.34161.34
Fair Value$25.23$26.38$27.57
Upside / Downside-81.22%-80.36%-79.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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