Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Synchrony Financial (SYF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.60 - $82.44$70.43
Multi-Stage$84.18 - $92.45$88.23
Blended Fair Value$79.33
Current Price$71.05
Upside11.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.29%0.00%1.031.051.131.301.351.511.381.160.550.00
YoY Growth---1.97%-6.45%-13.20%-3.85%-10.50%8.80%19.73%108.41%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.95%2.52%3.87%3.72%3.32%9.36%4.25%3.45%1.62%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,575.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)499.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,076.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)715.00446.88268.13
Cash Retained (M)3,076.003,076.003,076.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-715.00-446.88-268.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,361.002,629.132,807.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)385.68385.68385.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.126.827.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.291.291.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.126.827.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.428.118.57
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$58.60$70.43$82.44
Upside / Downside-17.52%-0.87%16.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,575.003,539.253,503.863,468.823,434.133,399.793,501.78
Payout Ratio13.96%29.17%44.37%59.58%74.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)499.001,032.271,554.832,066.832,568.443,059.813,239.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)925.58935.03944.47
Year 2 PV (M)1,250.041,275.681,301.58
Year 3 PV (M)1,489.931,536.011,583.02
Year 4 PV (M)1,660.161,728.971,799.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,773.351,865.701,961.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,367.3426,688.2728,063.67
Equity Value (M)32,466.4034,029.6535,654.48
Shares Outstanding (M)385.68385.68385.68
Fair Value$84.18$88.23$92.45
Upside / Downside18.48%24.19%30.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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