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Definitive Analysis

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Steel Connect, Inc. (STCN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.08 - $8.53$7.30
Multi-Stage$13.80 - $15.26$14.51
Blended Fair Value$10.91
Current Price$10.61
Upside2.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.413.382.03
Cash Retained (M)26.5226.5226.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.41-3.38-2.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.1123.1424.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.7326.7326.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.870.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.870.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate-5.32%-4.32%-3.32%
Fair Value$6.08$7.30$8.53
Upside / Downside-42.70%-31.21%-19.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.0525.8924.7723.7022.6821.7022.35
Payout Ratio1.98%19.59%37.19%54.79%72.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.545.079.2112.9916.4219.5320.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate-5.32%-4.32%-3.32%
Year 1 PV (M)4.684.734.78
Year 2 PV (M)7.848.008.17
Year 3 PV (M)10.1910.5110.85
Year 4 PV (M)11.8812.3912.91
Year 5 PV (M)13.0313.7314.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)321.20338.53356.59
Equity Value (M)368.81387.89407.76
Shares Outstanding (M)26.7326.7326.73
Fair Value$13.80$14.51$15.26
Upside / Downside30.06%36.79%43.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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