Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Thai Stanley Electric Public Company Limited (STANLY.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$304.01 - $537.61$402.94
Multi-Stage$528.09 - $579.87$553.48
Blended Fair Value$478.21
Current Price$182.00
Upside162.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.40%12.81%19.9919.998.505.508.258.247.005.005.004.80
YoY Growth--0.00%135.29%54.55%-33.33%0.08%17.76%40.00%0.07%4.10%-19.88%
Dividend Yield--10.05%9.09%3.93%3.06%4.43%4.86%3.00%1.99%2.22%2.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,739.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)919.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)819.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)347.83217.40130.44
Cash Retained (M)819.67819.67819.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-347.83-217.40-130.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)471.83602.27689.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.6476.6476.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.167.868.99
LTM Dividend per Share12.0012.0012.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.167.868.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.1519.8520.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Fair Value$304.01$402.94$537.61
Upside / Downside67.04%121.40%195.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,739.171,765.891,793.021,820.571,848.541,876.941,933.25
Payout Ratio52.87%60.30%67.72%75.15%82.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)919.501,064.761,214.271,368.121,526.411,689.251,788.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Year 1 PV (M)989.56999.401,009.25
Year 2 PV (M)1,048.811,069.771,090.95
Year 3 PV (M)1,098.231,131.331,165.09
Year 4 PV (M)1,138.761,184.751,232.12
Year 5 PV (M)1,171.241,230.661,292.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,028.2136,805.2738,653.74
Equity Value (M)40,474.8142,421.1944,443.61
Shares Outstanding (M)76.6476.6476.64
Fair Value$528.09$553.48$579.87
Upside / Downside190.16%204.11%218.61%

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