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Surapon Foods Public Company Limited (SSF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.01 - $7.91$6.33
Multi-Stage$11.44 - $12.58$12.00
Blended Fair Value$9.17
Current Price$5.35
Upside71.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.57%0.370.480.520.330.210.370.370.300.430.27
YoY Growth---23.06%-7.16%58.47%58.60%-44.30%-0.67%24.30%-30.23%59.26%-22.86%
Dividend Yield--6.75%6.27%6.19%3.22%2.60%6.69%5.58%3.52%3.95%2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)135.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.1016.9410.16
Cash Retained (M)45.5045.5045.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.10-16.94-10.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.4028.5635.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)269.32269.32269.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-1.60%-0.60%0.40%
Fair Value$5.01$6.33$7.91
Upside / Downside-6.41%18.37%47.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)135.52134.71133.90133.09132.29131.50135.44
Payout Ratio66.42%71.14%75.85%80.57%85.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90.0295.83101.57107.23112.82118.35125.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-1.60%-0.60%0.40%
Year 1 PV (M)89.2390.1491.05
Year 2 PV (M)88.0789.8791.69
Year 3 PV (M)86.5889.2591.97
Year 4 PV (M)84.8388.3391.94
Year 5 PV (M)82.8687.1591.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,650.212,787.652,930.72
Equity Value (M)3,081.793,232.393,388.99
Shares Outstanding (M)269.32269.32269.32
Fair Value$11.44$12.00$12.58
Upside / Downside113.88%124.34%135.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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