Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company Limited (SMPC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.46 - $231.66$197.66
Multi-Stage$33.09 - $36.20$34.62
Blended Fair Value$116.14
Current Price$9.00
Upside1,190.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.39%24.98%0.610.611.070.780.550.570.650.580.610.25
YoY Growth---0.02%-42.99%36.68%42.67%-3.62%-12.03%10.96%-4.43%145.20%279.35%
Dividend Yield--6.73%6.62%8.69%5.66%4.85%13.10%6.27%4.04%3.69%2.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)626.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)358.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)268.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)125.2978.3046.98
Cash Retained (M)268.25268.25268.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-125.29-78.30-46.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.96189.94221.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)535.51535.51535.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.350.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.350.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.941.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Fair Value$63.46$197.66$231.66
Upside / Downside605.09%2,096.19%2,474.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)626.43664.32704.50747.11792.29840.21865.42
Payout Ratio57.18%63.74%70.31%76.87%83.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)358.19423.46495.31574.31661.06756.19800.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Year 1 PV (M)393.50397.25401.00
Year 2 PV (M)427.72435.90444.16
Year 3 PV (M)460.86474.14487.68
Year 4 PV (M)492.94511.98531.57
Year 5 PV (M)523.99549.41575.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,420.1116,168.1816,944.99
Equity Value (M)17,719.1318,536.8719,385.21
Shares Outstanding (M)535.51535.51535.51
Fair Value$33.09$34.62$36.20
Upside / Downside267.65%284.62%302.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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