Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Srithai Superware Public Company Limited (SITHAI.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.45 - $0.67$0.55
Multi-Stage$1.24 - $1.37$1.30
Blended Fair Value$0.93
Current Price$1.06
Upside-12.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.67%-5.00%0.060.060.030.000.000.050.050.100.100.10
YoY Growth---0.19%99.98%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.44%5.08%1.98%0.00%0.00%10.32%4.20%6.88%4.81%4.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)162.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)158.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.5420.3312.20
Cash Retained (M)4.474.474.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.54-20.33-12.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-28.06-15.86-7.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,736.552,736.552,736.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.01-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.01-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-3.80%-2.80%-1.80%
Fair Value$0.45$0.55$0.67
Upside / Downside-57.35%-47.70%-37.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)162.68158.12153.69149.38145.19141.12145.36
Payout Ratio97.25%95.80%94.35%92.90%91.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)158.20151.48145.00138.77132.78127.01134.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-3.80%-2.80%-1.80%
Year 1 PV (M)141.01142.48143.94
Year 2 PV (M)125.66128.29130.94
Year 3 PV (M)111.95115.48119.08
Year 4 PV (M)99.71103.93108.27
Year 5 PV (M)88.7993.5098.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,833.972,984.373,141.08
Equity Value (M)3,401.103,568.043,741.73
Shares Outstanding (M)2,736.552,736.552,736.55
Fair Value$1.24$1.30$1.37
Upside / Downside17.25%23.00%28.99%

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