Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Sigma Energy Compressindo Tbk (SICO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.87 - $163.82$134.85
Multi-Stage$218.20 - $239.91$228.84
Blended Fair Value$181.84
Current Price$112.00
Upside62.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%5.004.002.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.04%99.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.00%4.08%1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,705.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,460.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,244.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,341.021,463.13877.88
Cash Retained (M)6,244.696,244.696,244.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,341.02-1,463.13-877.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,903.674,781.555,366.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)910.06910.06910.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.295.255.90
LTM Dividend per Share6.006.006.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.295.255.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2911.2511.90
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$108.87$134.85$163.82
Upside / Downside-2.80%20.40%46.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,705.0811,588.0311,472.1511,357.4211,243.8511,131.4111,465.35
Payout Ratio46.65%55.32%63.99%72.66%81.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,460.396,410.477,341.018,252.299,144.6210,018.2710,605.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,916.085,976.456,036.82
Year 2 PV (M)6,252.366,380.616,510.16
Year 3 PV (M)6,486.446,687.046,891.73
Year 4 PV (M)6,633.486,908.417,191.79
Year 5 PV (M)6,706.767,056.007,419.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)166,575.38175,249.34184,280.94
Equity Value (M)198,570.50208,257.85218,331.08
Shares Outstanding (M)910.06910.06910.06
Fair Value$218.20$228.84$239.91
Upside / Downside94.82%104.32%114.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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