Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shelter Pharma Ltd. (SHELTER.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.93 - $57.96$49.34
Multi-Stage$59.61 - $65.55$62.52
Blended Fair Value$55.93
Current Price$36.10
Upside54.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.330.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)68.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.479.055.43
Cash Retained (M)68.5668.5668.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.47-9.05-5.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.0859.5163.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5611.5611.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.685.155.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.685.155.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.015.485.79
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$40.93$49.34$57.96
Upside / Downside13.38%36.67%60.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.3771.6570.9370.2269.5268.8370.89
Payout Ratio5.27%22.22%39.16%56.11%73.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.8215.9227.7839.4050.7961.9465.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.3314.4714.62
Year 2 PV (M)22.5022.9623.43
Year 3 PV (M)28.7229.6130.52
Year 4 PV (M)33.3234.7036.12
Year 5 PV (M)36.5738.4840.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)553.70582.53612.55
Equity Value (M)689.14722.75757.70
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5611.5611.56
Fair Value$59.61$62.52$65.55
Upside / Downside65.14%73.19%81.57%

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