Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited (SHANG.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.72 - $45.96$33.42
Multi-Stage$132.26 - $146.29$139.13
Blended Fair Value$86.27
Current Price$53.50
Upside61.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.97%-3.97%1.000.000.000.002.242.242.241.991.990.75
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%12.50%0.00%166.67%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.25%3.46%2.64%2.86%2.89%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)228.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.6728.5417.13
Cash Retained (M)98.3598.3598.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.67-28.54-17.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.6869.8081.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)130.46130.46130.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.540.62
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.540.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.62
WACC / Discount Rate2.09%2.09%2.09%
Growth Rate-3.38%-2.38%-1.38%
Fair Value$24.72$33.42$45.96
Upside / Downside-53.80%-37.54%-14.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)228.35222.90217.59212.41207.35202.40208.48
Payout Ratio56.93%63.54%70.16%76.77%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.00141.64152.66163.07172.90182.16192.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.09%2.09%2.09%
Growth Rate-3.38%-2.38%-1.38%
Year 1 PV (M)137.32138.74140.16
Year 2 PV (M)143.49146.47149.49
Year 3 PV (M)148.59153.26158.01
Year 4 PV (M)152.74159.16165.79
Year 5 PV (M)156.02164.26172.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,516.1117,388.7118,297.80
Equity Value (M)17,254.2718,150.6019,084.10
Shares Outstanding (M)130.46130.46130.46
Fair Value$132.26$139.13$146.29
Upside / Downside147.22%160.06%173.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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