Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Thaitheparos Public Company Limited (SAUCE.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.32 - $82.82$54.77
Multi-Stage$56.26 - $61.66$58.91
Blended Fair Value$56.84
Current Price$37.75
Upside50.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.68%2.45%1.721.651.601.251.150.991.001.151.151.10
YoY Growth--4.24%3.13%28.00%8.70%16.16%-1.00%-13.04%0.00%4.55%-18.52%
Dividend Yield--4.52%3.95%5.07%4.06%4.18%4.34%4.34%5.06%4.63%4.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)745.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)644.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)100.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.0693.1655.90
Cash Retained (M)100.89100.89100.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.06-93.16-55.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)-48.167.7345.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)360.43360.43360.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.130.020.12
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.130.020.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.651.811.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.91%2.91%3.91%
Fair Value$38.32$54.77$82.82
Upside / Downside1.50%45.09%119.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)745.29766.98789.30812.27835.91860.24886.05
Payout Ratio86.46%87.17%87.88%88.58%89.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)644.40668.58693.62719.55746.41774.21819.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.91%2.91%3.91%
Year 1 PV (M)622.79628.90635.01
Year 2 PV (M)601.86613.73625.71
Year 3 PV (M)581.59598.88616.51
Year 4 PV (M)561.98584.36607.41
Year 5 PV (M)542.99570.16598.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,366.8618,235.8119,139.20
Equity Value (M)20,278.0621,231.8422,222.25
Shares Outstanding (M)360.43360.43360.43
Fair Value$56.26$58.91$61.66
Upside / Downside49.04%56.05%63.33%

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