Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.49 - $8.23$6.79
Multi-Stage$10.71 - $11.78$11.23
Blended Fair Value$9.01
Current Price$14.04
Upside-35.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.200.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.130.00
YoY Growth--87.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.40%0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.93%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.981.861.12
Cash Retained (M)9.709.709.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.98-1.86-1.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.727.848.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.6822.6822.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.570.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.49$6.79$8.23
Upside / Downside-60.89%-51.63%-41.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.9014.7514.6014.4614.3114.1714.59
Payout Ratio34.90%45.92%56.94%67.96%78.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.206.778.329.8311.3012.7513.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.246.316.37
Year 2 PV (M)7.077.217.36
Year 3 PV (M)7.707.948.18
Year 4 PV (M)8.168.508.85
Year 5 PV (M)8.498.939.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)205.19215.87226.99
Equity Value (M)242.85254.76267.15
Shares Outstanding (M)22.6822.6822.68
Fair Value$10.71$11.23$11.78
Upside / Downside-23.74%-19.99%-16.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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