Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Rajthanee Hospital Public Company Limited (RJH.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.13 - $170.03$75.62
Multi-Stage$22.84 - $24.97$23.89
Blended Fair Value$49.75
Current Price$13.40
Upside271.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.86%6.78%0.751.483.062.191.071.020.660.410.430.22
YoY Growth---48.96%-51.60%39.37%104.28%5.12%53.96%62.27%-5.81%94.57%-43.08%
Dividend Yield--5.47%5.94%10.63%6.85%4.09%5.43%2.97%1.60%1.89%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)252.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)190.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.5231.5718.94
Cash Retained (M)61.7061.7061.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.52-31.57-18.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.1830.1242.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)293.45293.45293.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.100.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.100.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Fair Value$35.13$75.62$170.03
Upside / Downside162.19%464.30%1,168.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)252.58267.17282.60298.93316.20334.47344.50
Payout Ratio75.57%78.46%81.34%84.23%87.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)190.88209.62229.88251.79275.46301.02318.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Year 1 PV (M)194.36196.22198.07
Year 2 PV (M)197.63201.42205.25
Year 3 PV (M)200.71206.51212.42
Year 4 PV (M)203.60211.48219.59
Year 5 PV (M)206.30216.33226.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,700.805,978.086,266.06
Equity Value (M)6,703.397,010.047,328.14
Shares Outstanding (M)293.45293.45293.45
Fair Value$22.84$23.89$24.97
Upside / Downside70.47%78.27%86.36%

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