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Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$231.28 - $583.07$348.06
Multi-Stage$159.79 - $174.61$167.06
Blended Fair Value$257.56
Current Price$172.60
Upside49.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.20%14.96%2.001.851.711.331.050.990.920.730.610.55
YoY Growth--8.62%7.89%28.16%27.06%6.34%7.33%26.49%18.90%11.96%9.98%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.19%1.53%1.25%1.05%1.55%1.54%1.47%1.03%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,135.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)416.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,719.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)427.00266.88160.13
Cash Retained (M)1,719.001,719.001,719.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-427.00-266.88-160.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,292.001,452.131,558.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.50207.50207.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.237.007.51
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.237.007.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.239.009.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$231.28$348.06$583.07
Upside / Downside34.00%101.66%237.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,135.002,273.782,421.572,578.972,746.612,925.143,012.89
Payout Ratio19.48%33.59%47.69%61.79%75.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)416.00763.711,154.871,593.652,084.592,632.622,786.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)692.46699.02705.58
Year 2 PV (M)949.42967.50985.76
Year 3 PV (M)1,187.901,222.001,256.75
Year 4 PV (M)1,408.871,463.051,518.78
Year 5 PV (M)1,613.251,691.171,772.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,304.1428,622.9429,992.22
Equity Value (M)33,156.0434,665.6936,231.16
Shares Outstanding (M)207.50207.50207.50
Fair Value$159.79$167.06$174.61
Upside / Downside-7.42%-3.21%1.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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