Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Reliance Industries Limited (RIGD.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,380.96 - $12,213.45$11,445.79
Multi-Stage$1,784.63 - $1,955.38$1,868.43
Blended Fair Value$6,657.11
Current Price$5,416.25
Upside22.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.06%7.55%5.004.503.763.182.903.392.632.410.044.46
YoY Growth--11.12%19.79%18.29%9.59%-14.61%29.21%9.19%6,041.51%-99.12%84.79%
Dividend Yield--0.08%0.07%0.07%0.06%0.07%0.10%0.10%0.12%0.00%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)831,060.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67,660.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)763,400.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)166,212.00103,882.5062,329.50
Cash Retained (M)763,400.00763,400.00763,400.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-166,212.00-103,882.50-62,329.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)597,188.00659,517.50701,070.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13,532.3813,532.3813,532.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share44.1348.7451.81
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share44.1348.7451.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.1353.7456.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,380.96$11,445.79$12,213.45
Upside / Downside-0.65%111.32%125.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)831,060.00885,078.90942,609.031,003,878.621,069,130.731,138,624.221,172,782.95
Payout Ratio8.14%24.51%40.88%57.26%73.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67,660.00216,960.52385,384.25574,786.40787,182.581,024,761.801,084,824.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)201,875.60203,789.11205,702.63
Year 2 PV (M)333,656.97340,012.19346,427.38
Year 3 PV (M)463,037.15476,329.28489,873.39
Year 4 PV (M)590,048.82612,740.44636,080.33
Year 5 PV (M)714,724.25749,245.70785,088.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,846,943.0022,902,158.5123,997,759.61
Equity Value (M)24,150,285.7925,284,275.2426,460,931.70
Shares Outstanding (M)13,532.3813,532.3813,532.38
Fair Value$1,784.63$1,868.43$1,955.38
Upside / Downside-67.05%-65.50%-63.90%

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