Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.32 - $7.61$6.44
Multi-Stage$8.51 - $9.33$8.91
Blended Fair Value$7.68
Current Price$49.20
Upside-84.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.241.400.84
Cash Retained (M)7.027.027.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.24-1.40-0.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.785.626.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.4514.4514.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.32$6.44$7.61
Upside / Downside-89.18%-86.90%-84.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.2011.0910.9810.8710.7610.6510.97
Payout Ratio37.32%47.86%58.39%68.93%79.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.185.316.417.498.559.5910.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.804.854.90
Year 2 PV (M)5.255.355.46
Year 3 PV (M)5.555.725.89
Year 4 PV (M)5.735.966.21
Year 5 PV (M)5.816.116.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)95.75100.74105.93
Equity Value (M)122.88128.74134.82
Shares Outstanding (M)14.4514.4514.45
Fair Value$8.51$8.91$9.33
Upside / Downside-82.71%-81.89%-81.03%

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