Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Rocky Brands, Inc. (RCKY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.92 - $48.02$38.11
Multi-Stage$32.12 - $35.13$33.60
Blended Fair Value$35.85
Current Price$29.79
Upside20.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.95%4.33%0.620.610.610.570.550.530.460.440.440.43
YoY Growth--1.01%0.59%5.56%5.03%2.66%14.44%6.56%-0.84%1.38%7.76%
Dividend Yield--3.54%2.22%2.62%1.38%1.01%2.75%1.81%2.03%3.81%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.112.571.54
Cash Retained (M)15.9415.9415.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.11-2.57-1.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.8213.3714.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.507.507.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.581.781.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.581.781.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.192.402.54
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Fair Value$29.92$38.11$48.02
Upside / Downside0.45%27.92%61.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.5621.3322.1222.9423.7924.6825.42
Payout Ratio22.50%36.00%49.50%63.00%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.637.6810.9514.4518.2022.2123.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Year 1 PV (M)6.906.967.03
Year 2 PV (M)8.849.019.18
Year 3 PV (M)10.4810.7911.10
Year 4 PV (M)11.8512.3212.80
Year 5 PV (M)12.9913.6414.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)189.75199.17208.96
Equity Value (M)240.80251.89263.38
Shares Outstanding (M)7.507.507.50
Fair Value$32.12$33.60$35.13
Upside / Downside7.83%12.79%17.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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