Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Reckitt Benckiser Group plc (RB.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.05 - $100.64$75.54
Multi-Stage$103.49 - $113.61$108.45
Blended Fair Value$92.00
Current Price$54.00
Upside70.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.39%3.41%1.931.881.751.751.741.721.661.591.451.29
YoY Growth--3.14%7.21%0.24%0.40%1.14%3.37%4.67%9.57%12.01%-6.48%
Dividend Yield--3.58%3.47%3.24%3.49%2.45%2.26%2.11%1.76%1.66%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,060.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,050.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,009.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)612.00382.50229.50
Cash Retained (M)1,009.501,009.501,009.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-612.00-382.50-229.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)397.50627.00780.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)713.89713.89713.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.881.09
LTM Dividend per Share2.872.872.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.881.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.433.753.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate0.39%1.39%2.39%
Fair Value$57.05$75.54$100.64
Upside / Downside5.65%39.89%86.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,060.003,102.623,145.843,189.663,234.093,279.133,377.51
Payout Ratio67.01%71.61%76.21%80.80%85.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,050.502,221.722,397.312,577.372,761.972,951.223,124.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate0.39%1.39%2.39%
Year 1 PV (M)2,066.962,087.552,108.14
Year 2 PV (M)2,074.972,116.512,158.47
Year 3 PV (M)2,075.422,138.062,201.95
Year 4 PV (M)2,069.152,152.842,239.03
Year 5 PV (M)2,056.932,161.432,270.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,537.9466,766.0870,124.11
Equity Value (M)73,881.3877,422.4781,101.84
Shares Outstanding (M)713.89713.89713.89
Fair Value$103.49$108.45$113.61
Upside / Downside91.65%100.84%110.38%

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