Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rational AG (RAA.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,784.65 - $4,458.96$4,178.70
Multi-Stage$2,715.86 - $2,979.50$2,845.22
Blended Fair Value$3,511.96
Current Price$649.00
Upside441.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.28%8.45%13.5011.007.504.805.709.5011.0010.007.506.80
YoY Growth--22.73%46.67%56.25%-15.79%-40.00%-13.64%10.00%33.33%10.29%13.33%
Dividend Yield--1.76%1.39%1.22%0.77%0.86%1.96%1.97%1.96%1.72%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)254.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)170.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.9931.8719.12
Cash Retained (M)84.3884.3884.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.99-31.87-19.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.3952.5165.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3711.3711.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.944.625.74
LTM Dividend per Share15.0015.0015.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.944.625.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.9419.6220.74
WACC / Discount Rate1.33%1.33%1.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,784.65$4,178.70$4,458.96
Upside / Downside483.15%543.87%587.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)254.93271.50289.14307.94327.95349.27359.75
Payout Ratio66.90%71.52%76.14%80.76%85.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)170.55194.18220.16248.69280.01314.34332.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.33%1.33%1.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)189.82191.62193.42
Year 2 PV (M)210.40214.40218.45
Year 3 PV (M)232.34239.01245.81
Year 4 PV (M)255.73265.57275.68
Year 5 PV (M)280.65294.21308.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,710.3431,145.3632,635.31
Equity Value (M)30,879.2932,350.1833,876.95
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3711.3711.37
Fair Value$2,715.86$2,845.22$2,979.50
Upside / Downside318.47%338.40%359.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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