Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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QTC Energy Public Company Limited (QTC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.87 - $15.03$8.87
Multi-Stage$6.86 - $7.51$7.18
Blended Fair Value$8.03
Current Price$3.72
Upside115.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%4.95%0.210.200.260.200.270.000.000.020.190.11
YoY Growth--0.27%-22.70%35.09%-28.64%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-87.34%77.78%-14.29%
Dividend Yield--5.32%4.92%5.71%2.93%4.95%0.00%0.00%0.26%1.03%1.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)85.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5010.946.56
Cash Retained (M)2.422.422.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.50-10.94-6.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)-15.07-8.51-4.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)331.72331.72331.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Fair Value$5.87$8.87$15.03
Upside / Downside57.68%138.55%304.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.4890.9494.5498.28102.16106.20109.39
Payout Ratio97.23%95.78%94.34%92.89%91.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)85.0687.1189.1991.2993.4395.58101.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)80.8981.6782.46
Year 2 PV (M)76.9078.4079.92
Year 3 PV (M)73.0975.2477.44
Year 4 PV (M)69.4672.1975.01
Year 5 PV (M)65.9869.2572.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,909.902,004.482,102.76
Equity Value (M)2,276.222,381.242,490.23
Shares Outstanding (M)331.72331.72331.72
Fair Value$6.86$7.18$7.51
Upside / Downside84.46%92.97%101.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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