Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Prima Marine Public Company Limited (PRM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.40 - $191.44$97.90
Multi-Stage$22.34 - $24.42$23.36
Blended Fair Value$60.63
Current Price$6.90
Upside778.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.54%0.00%0.510.380.290.280.230.220.110.430.200.28
YoY Growth--33.75%29.66%3.83%23.81%5.00%100.00%-74.52%109.47%-28.29%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.79%4.98%4.03%4.76%2.82%5.00%1.65%4.78%2.55%3.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,208.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,102.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,106.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)441.76276.10165.66
Cash Retained (M)1,106.601,106.601,106.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-441.76-276.10-165.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)664.85830.50940.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,294.562,294.562,294.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.360.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.360.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.40$97.90$191.44
Upside / Downside514.47%1,318.91%2,674.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,208.782,352.352,505.252,668.092,841.523,026.223,117.01
Payout Ratio49.90%57.92%65.94%73.96%81.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,102.181,362.481,651.961,973.322,329.482,723.602,883.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,256.501,268.411,280.32
Year 2 PV (M)1,404.971,431.731,458.74
Year 3 PV (M)1,547.731,592.161,637.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,684.961,749.761,816.41
Year 5 PV (M)1,816.801,904.551,995.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,550.3445,653.8447,837.84
Equity Value (M)51,261.3053,600.4556,026.41
Shares Outstanding (M)2,294.562,294.562,294.56
Fair Value$22.34$23.36$24.42
Upside / Downside223.77%238.55%253.87%

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