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Definitive Analysis

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Primerica, Inc. (PRI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$566.45 - $1,748.61$905.32
Multi-Stage$370.16 - $404.69$387.11
Blended Fair Value$646.22
Current Price$277.59
Upside132.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.38%15.58%3.402.822.522.251.941.731.331.081.000.99
YoY Growth--20.38%11.85%12.26%15.99%11.65%30.56%23.22%7.35%1.71%23.74%
Dividend Yield--1.19%1.12%1.46%1.64%1.31%1.96%1.06%1.12%1.22%2.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)721.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)588.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)144.2590.1654.09
Cash Retained (M)588.29588.29588.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-144.25-90.16-54.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)444.04498.13534.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.2333.2333.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.3614.9916.08
LTM Dividend per Share4.004.004.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.3614.9916.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.3718.9920.08
WACC / Discount Rate8.73%8.73%8.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$566.45$905.32$1,748.61
Upside / Downside104.06%226.14%529.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)721.26768.14818.07871.24927.88988.191,017.83
Payout Ratio18.44%32.75%47.06%61.37%75.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.97251.56385.00534.72702.28889.37941.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.73%8.73%8.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)229.18231.35233.52
Year 2 PV (M)319.54325.63331.77
Year 3 PV (M)404.33415.94427.76
Year 4 PV (M)483.79502.39521.53
Year 5 PV (M)558.16585.12613.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,303.9810,801.6611,318.40
Equity Value (M)12,298.9812,862.0913,446.10
Shares Outstanding (M)33.2333.2333.23
Fair Value$370.16$387.11$404.69
Upside / Downside33.35%39.45%45.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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