Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Thrace Plastics Holding Company S.A. (PLAT.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.36 - $57.54$53.93
Multi-Stage$9.16 - $10.02$9.58
Blended Fair Value$31.75
Current Price$3.99
Upside695.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.02%12.85%0.180.340.170.280.110.050.050.000.000.05
YoY Growth---48.09%102.92%-38.96%159.64%131.29%-4.68%50,700.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.68%
Dividend Yield--4.44%8.50%4.20%5.26%2.41%3.46%2.12%0.00%0.00%3.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.421.510.91
Cash Retained (M)1.701.701.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.42-1.51-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.710.190.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.7641.7641.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.000.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.000.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$26.36$53.93$57.54
Upside / Downside560.71%1,251.50%1,342.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.0912.8713.6914.5715.5116.5016.99
Payout Ratio85.91%86.73%87.55%88.36%89.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3911.1611.9912.8813.8314.8515.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)10.4010.5010.59
Year 2 PV (M)10.4010.6010.80
Year 3 PV (M)10.4110.7111.01
Year 4 PV (M)10.4110.8211.23
Year 5 PV (M)10.4210.9211.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)330.66346.64363.24
Equity Value (M)382.70400.19418.32
Shares Outstanding (M)41.7641.7641.76
Fair Value$9.16$9.58$10.02
Upside / Downside129.66%140.16%151.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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