Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$236.29 - $482.10$330.78
Multi-Stage$182.30 - $198.68$190.34
Blended Fair Value$260.56
Current Price$346.99
Upside-24.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.68%0.00%4.134.736.035.571.582.002.641.060.000.00
YoY Growth---12.69%-21.47%8.23%252.66%-20.85%-24.52%148.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.67%2.40%4.35%4.24%1.44%3.95%3.55%1.28%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)236.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)123.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.2829.5517.73
Cash Retained (M)123.16123.16123.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.28-29.55-17.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.8793.61105.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.8417.8417.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.255.255.91
LTM Dividend per Share6.356.356.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.255.255.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.6011.5912.26
WACC / Discount Rate10.23%10.23%10.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$236.29$330.78$482.10
Upside / Downside-31.90%-4.67%38.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)236.42251.79268.16285.59304.15323.92333.64
Payout Ratio47.91%56.33%64.74%73.16%81.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.26141.82173.62208.94248.13291.53308.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.23%10.23%10.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)127.45128.66129.87
Year 2 PV (M)140.21142.88145.57
Year 3 PV (M)151.64155.99160.42
Year 4 PV (M)161.82168.05174.45
Year 5 PV (M)170.86179.11187.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,500.562,621.342,746.74
Equity Value (M)3,252.533,396.023,544.73
Shares Outstanding (M)17.8417.8417.84
Fair Value$182.30$190.34$198.68
Upside / Downside-47.46%-45.14%-42.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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