Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.12 - $33.16$27.36
Multi-Stage$41.93 - $46.20$44.02
Blended Fair Value$35.69
Current Price$13.82
Upside158.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.900.590.360.210.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%53.12%63.72%68.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)615.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)558.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.0576.9146.14
Cash Retained (M)558.65558.65558.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.05-76.91-46.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)435.59481.74512.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.15232.15232.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.882.082.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.882.082.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.122.322.45
WACC / Discount Rate7.39%7.39%7.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$22.12$27.36$33.16
Upside / Downside60.07%97.94%139.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)615.25609.10603.01596.98591.01585.10602.65
Payout Ratio9.20%25.36%41.52%57.68%73.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.61154.47250.37344.34436.40526.59557.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.39%7.39%7.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)142.38143.84145.29
Year 2 PV (M)212.73217.09221.50
Year 3 PV (M)269.67278.01286.52
Year 4 PV (M)315.03328.09341.55
Year 5 PV (M)350.40368.64387.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,445.068,884.829,342.70
Equity Value (M)9,735.2810,220.4910,725.20
Shares Outstanding (M)232.15232.15232.15
Fair Value$41.93$44.02$46.20
Upside / Downside203.43%218.56%234.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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