Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.99 - $85.36$70.45
Multi-Stage$94.07 - $103.24$98.57
Blended Fair Value$84.51
Current Price$81.53
Upside3.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.41%1.68%2.812.862.953.012.862.872.792.622.572.52
YoY Growth---1.78%-3.17%-1.89%5.26%-0.28%2.88%6.46%1.94%1.75%6.13%
Dividend Yield--3.39%2.96%3.13%3.54%3.85%5.22%3.78%3.60%2.98%3.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,334.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)550.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)784.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)266.92166.83100.10
Cash Retained (M)784.00784.00784.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-266.92-166.83-100.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)517.08617.18683.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.90196.90196.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.633.133.47
LTM Dividend per Share2.802.802.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.633.133.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.425.936.27
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate-1.04%-0.04%0.96%
Fair Value$56.99$70.45$85.36
Upside / Downside-30.10%-13.59%4.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,334.601,334.131,333.661,333.191,332.721,332.251,372.22
Payout Ratio41.26%51.00%60.75%70.50%80.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)550.60680.47810.24939.931,069.521,199.031,269.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate-1.04%-0.04%0.96%
Year 1 PV (M)621.57627.85634.13
Year 2 PV (M)676.05689.78703.65
Year 3 PV (M)716.38738.31760.69
Year 4 PV (M)744.59775.15806.63
Year 5 PV (M)762.50801.81842.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,001.7815,775.1916,580.17
Equity Value (M)18,522.8719,408.0920,328.00
Shares Outstanding (M)196.90196.90196.90
Fair Value$94.07$98.57$103.24
Upside / Downside15.38%20.90%26.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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