Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap ASA (OLT.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,549.55 - $4,954.50$4,643.00
Multi-Stage$695.31 - $761.26$727.68
Blended Fair Value$2,685.34
Current Price$273.00
Upside883.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.38%16.96%7.366.807.125.340.134.702.642.212.001.75
YoY Growth--8.18%-4.49%33.40%3,884.62%-97.15%78.13%19.63%10.31%14.12%14.09%
Dividend Yield--2.84%3.08%4.17%2.84%0.08%4.16%1.74%1.56%1.24%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,422.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)744.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)484.40302.75181.65
Cash Retained (M)1,678.001,678.001,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-484.40-302.75-181.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,193.601,375.251,496.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.0197.0197.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.3014.1815.43
LTM Dividend per Share7.677.677.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.3014.1815.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.9721.8523.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Fair Value$1,549.55$4,643.00$4,954.50
Upside / Downside467.60%1,600.73%1,714.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,422.002,573.742,734.982,906.333,088.413,281.903,380.36
Payout Ratio30.72%42.57%54.43%66.29%78.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)744.001,095.761,488.681,926.532,413.402,953.713,126.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)1,018.041,027.711,037.38
Year 2 PV (M)1,284.981,309.511,334.27
Year 3 PV (M)1,544.961,589.411,634.71
Year 4 PV (M)1,798.121,867.431,938.72
Year 5 PV (M)2,044.592,143.562,246.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)59,759.5962,652.5765,656.51
Equity Value (M)67,450.2870,590.1973,847.93
Shares Outstanding (M)97.0197.0197.01
Fair Value$695.31$727.68$761.26
Upside / Downside154.69%166.55%178.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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