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Definitive Analysis

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Omega Flex, Inc. (OFLX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.11 - $15.96$13.48
Multi-Stage$21.05 - $23.05$22.03
Blended Fair Value$17.76
Current Price$31.19
Upside-43.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.72%57.39%1.341.300.941.471.124.560.971.290.850.49
YoY Growth--3.07%38.31%-36.17%31.50%-75.44%370.87%-24.91%51.76%73.47%3,310.34%
Dividend Yield--3.85%1.80%0.84%1.13%0.71%5.40%1.27%1.98%1.78%1.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.222.011.21
Cash Retained (M)2.372.372.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.22-2.01-1.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.850.351.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.0910.0910.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.040.11
LTM Dividend per Share1.361.361.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.040.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.281.401.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.54%8.54%8.54%
Growth Rate-2.64%-1.64%-0.64%
Fair Value$11.11$13.48$15.96
Upside / Downside-64.39%-56.78%-48.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.0915.8315.5715.3115.0614.8215.26
Payout Ratio85.30%86.24%87.18%88.12%89.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7313.6513.5713.4913.4113.3314.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.54%8.54%8.54%
Growth Rate-2.64%-1.64%-0.64%
Year 1 PV (M)12.4512.5812.71
Year 2 PV (M)11.2911.5211.76
Year 3 PV (M)10.2410.5510.88
Year 4 PV (M)9.289.6710.07
Year 5 PV (M)8.418.859.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)160.79169.21177.99
Equity Value (M)212.45222.39232.71
Shares Outstanding (M)10.0910.0910.09
Fair Value$21.05$22.03$23.05
Upside / Downside-32.52%-29.36%-26.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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