Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$272.61 - $1,045.46$460.52
Multi-Stage$169.14 - $185.02$176.94
Blended Fair Value$318.73
Current Price$134.50
Upside136.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.070.720.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--48.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)126.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9718.1110.86
Cash Retained (M)126.61126.61126.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.97-18.11-10.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)97.65108.51115.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.5315.5315.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.296.997.45
LTM Dividend per Share1.171.171.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.296.997.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.468.168.63
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$272.61$460.52$1,045.46
Upside / Downside102.69%242.39%677.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.84154.26164.28174.96186.33198.45204.40
Payout Ratio12.58%28.07%43.55%59.03%74.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.2343.3071.55103.29138.85178.60189.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.5739.9540.32
Year 2 PV (M)59.7660.9062.05
Year 3 PV (M)78.8581.1283.42
Year 4 PV (M)96.88100.61104.44
Year 5 PV (M)113.90119.40125.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,238.272,346.372,458.62
Equity Value (M)2,627.242,748.352,873.97
Shares Outstanding (M)15.5315.5315.53
Fair Value$169.14$176.94$185.02
Upside / Downside25.75%31.55%37.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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