Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Navigator Global Investments Limited (NGI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.97 - $2.68$2.33
Multi-Stage$4.15 - $4.59$4.37
Blended Fair Value$3.35
Current Price$1.12
Upside198.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.84%0.51%0.040.020.020.080.050.070.070.060.050.04
YoY Growth--86.30%0.17%-71.34%70.53%-34.70%2.76%12.55%16.02%22.07%7.87%
Dividend Yield--3.77%1.73%2.72%9.77%3.70%9.25%2.64%1.65%3.05%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)156.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)125.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.2119.5111.70
Cash Retained (M)125.20125.20125.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.21-19.51-11.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.99105.69113.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.06398.06398.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.23%8.23%8.23%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Fair Value$1.97$2.33$2.68
Upside / Downside75.52%108.00%139.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)156.06147.22138.88131.01123.59116.58120.08
Payout Ratio19.77%33.82%47.86%61.91%75.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8649.7966.4781.1193.87104.93111.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.23%8.23%8.23%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)45.5246.0046.49
Year 2 PV (M)55.5556.7557.96
Year 3 PV (M)61.9763.9866.04
Year 4 PV (M)65.5768.4271.37
Year 5 PV (M)67.0070.6774.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,357.421,431.711,509.22
Equity Value (M)1,653.031,737.541,825.58
Shares Outstanding (M)398.06398.06398.06
Fair Value$4.15$4.37$4.59
Upside / Downside270.78%289.74%309.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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