Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Enphys Acquisition Corp. (NFYS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.13 - $4.98$3.97
Multi-Stage$8.27 - $9.11$8.68
Blended Fair Value$6.33
Current Price$10.98
Upside-42.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.510.940.56
Cash Retained (M)2.362.362.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.51-0.94-0.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.851.411.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.1924.1924.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.13$3.97$4.98
Upside / Downside-71.46%-63.82%-54.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.537.457.387.307.237.167.37
Payout Ratio68.70%72.96%77.22%81.48%85.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.175.445.705.956.206.446.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.095.145.19
Year 2 PV (M)4.995.095.19
Year 3 PV (M)4.885.035.18
Year 4 PV (M)4.754.955.15
Year 5 PV (M)4.624.865.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)175.76184.91194.44
Equity Value (M)200.09209.98220.28
Shares Outstanding (M)24.1924.1924.19
Fair Value$8.27$8.68$9.11
Upside / Downside-24.67%-20.95%-17.07%

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