Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Nordson Corporation (NDSN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$120.03 - $215.09$159.92
Multi-Stage$126.86 - $138.75$132.70
Blended Fair Value$146.31
Current Price$231.95
Upside-36.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.002.832.642.211.711.551.441.271.120.99
YoY Growth---100.00%7.37%19.41%28.90%10.57%7.55%13.39%13.48%13.12%2.89%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.29%1.05%0.91%0.74%0.85%0.85%0.98%0.78%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)484.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)177.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)306.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)96.8960.5636.34
Cash Retained (M)306.82306.82306.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-96.89-60.56-36.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)209.92246.26270.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.9956.9956.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.684.324.75
LTM Dividend per Share3.123.123.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.684.324.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.807.447.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.00%9.00%9.00%
Growth Rate3.16%4.16%5.16%
Fair Value$120.03$159.92$215.09
Upside / Downside-48.25%-31.05%-7.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)484.47504.61525.58547.42570.16593.86611.67
Payout Ratio36.67%47.34%58.00%68.67%79.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)177.66238.86304.84375.90452.33534.47565.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.00%9.00%9.00%
Growth Rate3.16%4.16%5.16%
Year 1 PV (M)217.04219.14221.24
Year 2 PV (M)251.68256.58261.53
Year 3 PV (M)281.99290.27298.71
Year 4 PV (M)308.32320.45332.93
Year 5 PV (M)331.02347.38364.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,840.596,129.236,429.16
Equity Value (M)7,230.627,563.047,907.96
Shares Outstanding (M)56.9956.9956.99
Fair Value$126.86$132.70$138.75
Upside / Downside-45.31%-42.79%-40.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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