Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Sector

PT Malacca Trust Wuwungan Insurance Tbk (MTWI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$506.85 - $984.26$696.61
Multi-Stage$386.93 - $422.18$404.24
Blended Fair Value$550.43
Current Price$352.00
Upside56.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89,311.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,933.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,378.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,862.2711,163.926,698.35
Cash Retained (M)66,378.0666,378.0666,378.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,862.27-11,163.92-6,698.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)48,515.8055,214.1559,679.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.492,924.492,924.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.5918.8820.41
LTM Dividend per Share7.847.847.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.5918.8820.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.4326.7228.25
WACC / Discount Rate10.59%10.59%10.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$506.85$696.61$984.26
Upside / Downside43.99%97.90%179.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89,311.3395,116.56101,299.14107,883.58114,896.01122,364.26126,035.18
Payout Ratio25.68%38.54%51.41%64.27%77.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,933.2636,660.1252,074.5869,338.0288,625.70110,127.83116,582.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.59%10.59%10.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32,839.7133,150.9933,462.27
Year 2 PV (M)41,786.5742,582.4843,385.91
Year 3 PV (M)49,841.1351,271.8952,729.77
Year 4 PV (M)57,066.5559,261.1761,518.48
Year 5 PV (M)63,522.0466,590.1869,775.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)886,519.85929,339.09973,797.12
Equity Value (M)1,131,575.851,182,195.801,234,669.30
Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.492,924.492,924.49
Fair Value$386.93$404.24$422.18
Upside / Downside9.92%14.84%19.94%

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