Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$150.11 - $335.85$217.14
Multi-Stage$108.12 - $118.08$113.01
Blended Fair Value$165.07
Current Price$72.43
Upside127.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.510.550.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--174.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.13%0.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)541.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)118.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)422.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.3367.7040.62
Cash Retained (M)422.90422.90422.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.33-67.70-40.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)314.57355.20382.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.0972.0972.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.364.935.30
LTM Dividend per Share1.651.651.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.364.935.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.016.576.95
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$150.11$217.14$335.85
Upside / Downside107.25%199.79%363.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)541.63576.84614.33654.26696.79742.08764.34
Payout Ratio21.92%35.54%49.15%62.77%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)118.73204.99301.96410.67532.24667.87707.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)185.07186.82188.58
Year 2 PV (M)246.12250.81255.54
Year 3 PV (M)302.20310.87319.71
Year 4 PV (M)353.59367.19381.18
Year 5 PV (M)400.58419.93440.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,306.086,610.676,926.91
Equity Value (M)7,793.648,146.288,511.93
Shares Outstanding (M)72.0972.0972.09
Fair Value$108.12$113.01$118.08
Upside / Downside49.27%56.02%63.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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