Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Moshi Moshi Retail Corporation Public Company Limited (MOSHI.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$287.28 - $338.95$317.42
Multi-Stage$2,228.33 - $2,464.33$2,343.95
Blended Fair Value$1,330.69
Current Price$40.25
Upside3,206.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.092.540.000.000.000.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--560.00%-96.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%0.16%5.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)604.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)264.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)340.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.9075.5645.34
Cash Retained (M)340.50340.50340.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.90-75.56-45.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)219.60264.94295.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)329.94329.94329.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.800.89
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.800.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.471.601.69
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$287.28$317.42$338.95
Upside / Downside613.75%688.63%742.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)604.50598.46592.47586.55580.68574.88592.12
Payout Ratio43.67%52.94%62.20%71.47%80.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)264.00316.81368.54419.20468.81517.39547.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)530.52535.93541.34
Year 2 PV (M)1,033.431,054.621,076.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,968.412,029.292,091.41
Year 4 PV (M)3,686.313,839.093,996.57
Year 5 PV (M)6,812.547,167.287,536.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)721,183.06758,736.74797,838.77
Equity Value (M)735,214.27773,362.95813,080.79
Shares Outstanding (M)329.94329.94329.94
Fair Value$2,228.33$2,343.95$2,464.33
Upside / Downside5,436.21%5,723.47%6,022.55%

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