Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,362.23 - $18,452.99$6,505.22
Multi-Stage$1,954.92 - $2,136.03$2,043.83
Blended Fair Value$4,274.53
Current Price$2,460.00
Upside73.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.02%0.06%34.0037.0036.0136.8621.5018.440.0435.5726.1620.93
YoY Growth---8.11%2.76%-2.33%71.43%16.62%42,637.12%-99.88%36.00%25.00%-38.08%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.38%1.23%1.70%0.82%0.86%0.00%1.70%0.99%0.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,290,432.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)598,021.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)692,410.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)258,086.43161,304.0296,782.41
Cash Retained (M)692,410.39692,410.39692,410.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-258,086.43-161,304.02-96,782.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)434,323.96531,106.37595,627.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13,907.4813,907.4813,907.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share31.2338.1942.83
LTM Dividend per Share43.0043.0043.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share31.2338.1942.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend74.2381.1985.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,362.23$6,505.22$18,452.99
Upside / Downside36.68%164.44%650.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,290,432.131,374,310.221,463,640.381,558,777.011,660,097.521,768,003.851,821,043.97
Payout Ratio46.34%55.07%63.81%72.54%81.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)598,021.74756,890.37933,885.271,130,691.641,349,137.181,591,203.471,684,465.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)695,343.74701,934.67708,525.61
Year 2 PV (M)788,182.27803,194.93818,349.22
Year 3 PV (M)876,685.64901,852.13927,495.70
Year 4 PV (M)960,997.79997,955.061,035,968.16
Year 5 PV (M)1,041,258.511,091,551.691,143,769.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,825,593.4623,928,078.1625,072,757.54
Equity Value (M)27,188,061.4128,424,566.6429,706,865.93
Shares Outstanding (M)13,907.4813,907.4813,907.48
Fair Value$1,954.92$2,043.83$2,136.03
Upside / Downside-20.53%-16.92%-13.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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