Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185.95 - $862.27$327.43
Multi-Stage$114.05 - $124.66$119.26
Blended Fair Value$223.35
Current Price$117.30
Upside90.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.64%6.23%1.901.851.801.711.621.441.261.010.991.05
YoY Growth--2.64%2.91%4.95%6.07%11.90%14.87%24.37%1.75%-5.16%0.89%
Dividend Yield--1.71%1.53%1.93%2.02%2.00%2.76%2.17%1.88%2.96%4.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)145.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.0918.1810.91
Cash Retained (M)97.8197.8197.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.09-18.18-10.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)68.7279.6386.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.6224.6224.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.793.233.53
LTM Dividend per Share1.931.931.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.793.233.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.735.175.46
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$185.95$327.43$862.27
Upside / Downside58.53%179.14%635.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)145.43154.88164.95175.67187.09199.25205.23
Payout Ratio32.75%44.20%55.65%67.10%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.6268.4591.79117.87146.96179.32189.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.6863.2863.87
Year 2 PV (M)76.9778.4379.91
Year 3 PV (M)90.5093.1095.75
Year 4 PV (M)103.32107.30111.38
Year 5 PV (M)115.45121.03126.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,358.822,472.752,591.04
Equity Value (M)2,807.742,935.883,068.77
Shares Outstanding (M)24.6224.6224.62
Fair Value$114.05$119.26$124.66
Upside / Downside-2.77%1.67%6.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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