Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

MAAS Group Holdings Limited (MGH.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.97 - $22.80$13.54
Multi-Stage$35.05 - $38.72$36.85
Blended Fair Value$25.19
Current Price$4.24
Upside494.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.060.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.10%2.85%332.59%227.21%0.00%-100.00%-1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%1.37%2.12%0.36%0.07%0.00%0.07%0.07%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9818.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)91.2891.2891.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.98-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.2973.1680.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)339.40339.40339.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate1.73%1.73%1.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.97$13.54$22.80
Upside / Downside111.53%219.27%437.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.92143.47142.04140.62139.21137.82141.95
Payout Ratio37.02%47.61%58.21%68.81%79.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.6468.3182.6896.75110.54124.04131.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.73%1.73%1.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)66.4767.1567.83
Year 2 PV (M)78.2879.8981.51
Year 3 PV (M)89.1491.8994.71
Year 4 PV (M)99.09103.20107.43
Year 5 PV (M)108.20113.83119.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,453.6812,050.1012,671.11
Equity Value (M)11,894.8512,506.0613,142.28
Shares Outstanding (M)339.40339.40339.40
Fair Value$35.05$36.85$38.72
Upside / Downside726.56%769.04%813.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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