Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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MFEC Public Company Limited (MFEC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.01 - $105.06$40.11
Multi-Stage$14.25 - $15.57$14.90
Blended Fair Value$27.50
Current Price$5.40
Upside409.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%-1.17%0.400.400.400.400.350.200.260.360.340.51
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%75.00%-22.73%-26.52%6.02%-33.85%11.61%
Dividend Yield--6.79%5.86%5.08%3.85%5.66%4.74%7.51%7.77%5.89%9.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)232.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)220.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.5729.1117.46
Cash Retained (M)12.1312.1312.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.57-29.11-17.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)-34.44-16.97-5.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)437.06437.06437.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.04-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.04-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Fair Value$20.01$40.11$105.06
Upside / Downside270.63%642.69%1,845.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)232.85245.88259.64274.17289.51305.71314.88
Payout Ratio94.79%93.83%92.87%91.92%90.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)220.71230.71241.13252.00263.33275.14291.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Year 1 PV (M)213.93215.97218.02
Year 2 PV (M)207.33211.31215.33
Year 3 PV (M)200.91206.73212.66
Year 4 PV (M)194.67202.22209.99
Year 5 PV (M)188.61197.80207.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,221.735,476.165,740.41
Equity Value (M)6,227.176,510.196,803.76
Shares Outstanding (M)437.06437.06437.06
Fair Value$14.25$14.90$15.57
Upside / Downside163.85%175.84%188.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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