Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Lautan Luas Tbk (LTLS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,116.69 - $1,775.42$1,416.49
Multi-Stage$2,353.97 - $2,590.14$2,469.75
Blended Fair Value$1,943.12
Current Price$880.00
Upside120.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.28%0.73%34.9052.1498.9715.4135.9541.2230.4412.170.0017.79
YoY Growth---33.07%-47.32%542.36%-57.14%-12.79%35.45%150.00%0.00%-100.00%-45.16%
Dividend Yield--3.88%4.59%7.39%2.00%7.22%9.16%4.65%1.87%0.00%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163,395.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65,911.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)97,484.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32,679.0020,424.3812,254.63
Cash Retained (M)97,484.0097,484.0097,484.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-32,679.00-20,424.38-12,254.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)64,805.0077,059.6385,229.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,491.041,491.041,491.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share43.4651.6857.16
LTM Dividend per Share44.2044.2044.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share43.4651.6857.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend87.6795.89101.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-1.27%-0.27%0.73%
Fair Value$1,116.69$1,416.49$1,775.42
Upside / Downside26.90%60.96%101.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163,395.00162,961.57162,529.30162,098.17161,668.18161,239.34166,076.52
Payout Ratio40.34%50.27%60.20%70.14%80.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65,911.0081,922.0197,847.62113,688.16129,443.98145,115.40153,620.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-1.27%-0.27%0.73%
Year 1 PV (M)76,160.7676,932.1377,703.50
Year 2 PV (M)84,569.0886,290.8188,029.89
Year 3 PV (M)91,349.7294,153.5497,014.15
Year 4 PV (M)96,695.10100,672.39104,771.13
Year 5 PV (M)100,778.25105,986.16111,407.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,060,307.783,218,455.233,383,074.20
Equity Value (M)3,509,860.703,682,490.263,862,000.05
Shares Outstanding (M)1,491.041,491.041,491.04
Fair Value$2,353.97$2,469.75$2,590.14
Upside / Downside167.50%180.65%194.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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