Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Liberty SiriusXM Group (LSXMA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.25 - $86.48$72.41
Multi-Stage$98.38 - $108.34$103.27
Blended Fair Value$87.84
Current Price$22.29
Upside294.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.170.670.160.170.180.160.160.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-73.90%329.31%-9.38%-5.88%15.25%-1.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.59%2.38%0.34%0.39%0.58%0.40%0.39%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,950.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,899.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)590.00368.75221.25
Cash Retained (M)2,899.002,899.002,899.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-590.00-368.75-221.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,309.002,530.252,677.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)374.00374.00374.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.176.777.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.176.777.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.316.907.30
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$59.25$72.41$86.48
Upside / Downside165.83%224.85%288.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,950.002,920.502,891.302,862.382,833.762,805.422,889.58
Payout Ratio1.73%19.38%37.04%54.69%72.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.00566.081,070.861,565.482,050.102,524.882,672.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)516.77522.04527.31
Year 2 PV (M)892.41910.71929.21
Year 3 PV (M)1,190.961,227.791,265.37
Year 4 PV (M)1,423.771,482.781,543.60
Year 5 PV (M)1,600.741,684.101,770.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,171.1832,794.3434,484.41
Equity Value (M)36,795.8338,621.7540,520.80
Shares Outstanding (M)374.00374.00374.00
Fair Value$98.38$103.27$108.34
Upside / Downside341.38%363.29%386.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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