Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Loxley Public Company Limited (LOXLEY.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.42 - $0.56$0.49
Multi-Stage$0.60 - $0.66$0.63
Blended Fair Value$0.56
Current Price$1.56
Upside-64.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-2.28%0.070.000.070.000.000.000.070.070.050.10
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%40.00%-50.00%13.53%
Dividend Yield--6.08%0.00%3.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.44%2.96%1.52%3.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)140.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.6326.0215.61
Cash Retained (M)140.08140.08140.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.63-26.02-15.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)98.45114.06124.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,327.322,327.322,327.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-4.28%-3.28%-2.28%
Fair Value$0.42$0.49$0.56
Upside / Downside-73.33%-68.62%-64.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.16201.34194.74188.36182.19176.22181.51
Payout Ratio32.70%44.16%55.62%67.08%78.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.0788.92108.32126.36143.09158.60167.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-4.28%-3.28%-2.28%
Year 1 PV (M)78.4479.2680.08
Year 2 PV (M)84.3086.0787.86
Year 3 PV (M)86.7589.4992.30
Year 4 PV (M)86.6690.3494.13
Year 5 PV (M)84.7389.2593.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)976.581,028.671,082.95
Equity Value (M)1,397.461,463.081,531.28
Shares Outstanding (M)2,327.322,327.322,327.32
Fair Value$0.60$0.63$0.66
Upside / Downside-61.51%-59.70%-57.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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