Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lindsay Corporation (LNN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70.45 - $111.85$89.30
Multi-Stage$95.00 - $104.20$99.51
Blended Fair Value$94.41
Current Price$137.23
Upside-31.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.91%2.12%1.441.421.381.341.301.251.231.191.141.12
YoY Growth--1.86%2.51%3.31%3.06%3.82%2.02%2.84%4.13%2.01%-4.13%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.07%1.16%0.76%0.89%1.08%1.36%1.18%1.22%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.819.265.55
Cash Retained (M)58.3158.3158.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.81-9.26-5.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.4949.0552.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.9210.9210.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.984.494.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.441.441.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.984.494.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.435.936.27
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate0.91%1.91%2.91%
Fair Value$70.45$89.30$111.85
Upside / Downside-48.67%-34.92%-18.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.0575.4776.9178.3779.8781.3983.84
Payout Ratio21.27%35.01%48.76%62.51%76.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.7526.4237.5048.9960.9073.2577.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate0.91%1.91%2.91%
Year 1 PV (M)24.0724.3124.55
Year 2 PV (M)31.1331.7532.37
Year 3 PV (M)37.0538.1639.30
Year 4 PV (M)41.9743.6545.39
Year 5 PV (M)45.9948.3150.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)856.96900.28945.32
Equity Value (M)1,037.171,086.461,137.67
Shares Outstanding (M)10.9210.9210.92
Fair Value$95.00$99.51$104.20
Upside / Downside-30.77%-27.48%-24.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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