Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II (LFAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.46 - $2.32$1.85
Multi-Stage$3.75 - $4.13$3.94
Blended Fair Value$2.90
Current Price$10.68
Upside-72.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.640.400.24
Cash Retained (M)2.432.432.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.64-0.40-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.782.022.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.0722.0722.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.46$1.85$2.32
Upside / Downside-86.30%-82.64%-78.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.213.173.143.113.083.053.14
Payout Ratio24.33%37.46%50.60%63.73%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.781.191.591.982.372.742.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.111.121.14
Year 2 PV (M)1.391.421.45
Year 3 PV (M)1.621.671.73
Year 4 PV (M)1.811.891.97
Year 5 PV (M)1.972.072.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)74.8378.7382.78
Equity Value (M)82.7486.9191.24
Shares Outstanding (M)22.0722.0722.07
Fair Value$3.75$3.94$4.13
Upside / Downside-64.89%-63.12%-61.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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