Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Loulis Food Ingredients S.A. (KYLO.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.36 - $90.35$84.67
Multi-Stage$14.58 - $15.93$15.24
Blended Fair Value$49.96
Current Price$3.51
Upside1,323.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS59.18%32.56%0.120.010.070.070.080.010.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth--835.82%-82.09%1.17%-12.97%592.56%-6.56%0.00%59.29%10.24%-0.07%
Dividend Yield--4.17%0.47%2.75%2.94%3.05%0.39%0.50%0.57%0.38%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.560.970.58
Cash Retained (M)0.860.860.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.56-0.97-0.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.69-0.110.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.1217.1217.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.36$84.67$90.35
Upside / Downside1,249.16%2,312.35%2,474.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.788.288.829.4010.0110.6610.98
Payout Ratio88.89%89.11%89.33%89.56%89.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.917.387.888.418.989.5910.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.886.947.01
Year 2 PV (M)6.846.977.10
Year 3 PV (M)6.817.007.20
Year 4 PV (M)6.777.037.30
Year 5 PV (M)6.747.067.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)215.50225.91236.72
Equity Value (M)249.54260.93272.74
Shares Outstanding (M)17.1217.1217.12
Fair Value$14.58$15.24$15.93
Upside / Downside315.27%334.22%353.87%

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