Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kumwell Corporation Public Company Limited (KUMWEL.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Security & Protection ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.16 - $1.78$1.45
Multi-Stage$2.49 - $2.74$2.62
Blended Fair Value$2.03
Current Price$1.16
Upside75.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-29.05%0.00%0.050.070.060.090.070.280.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.57%16.67%-33.33%28.57%-74.82%7,870.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.73%3.86%2.73%3.06%3.22%39.45%0.31%0.31%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.287.054.23
Cash Retained (M)30.6230.6230.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.28-7.05-4.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.3423.5726.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)432.91432.91432.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.16$1.45$1.78
Upside / Downside0.26%25.01%53.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.4255.8655.3054.7554.2053.6655.27
Payout Ratio45.73%54.58%63.44%72.29%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.8030.4935.0839.5843.9848.2951.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.2628.5528.84
Year 2 PV (M)30.1530.7631.39
Year 3 PV (M)31.5332.5033.50
Year 4 PV (M)32.4833.8235.21
Year 5 PV (M)33.0634.7836.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)924.33972.461,022.58
Equity Value (M)1,079.801,132.881,188.08
Shares Outstanding (M)432.91432.91432.91
Fair Value$2.49$2.62$2.74
Upside / Downside115.02%125.59%136.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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