Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Grupa Kety S.A. (KTY.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: AluminumSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,249.04 - $11,386.15$10,670.49
Multi-Stage$1,780.62 - $1,945.60$1,861.61
Blended Fair Value$6,266.05
Current Price$923.00
Upside578.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.67%19.11%54.9261.4551.4943.8234.3023.3323.2929.0117.3413.86
YoY Growth---10.63%19.34%17.51%27.75%47.00%0.21%-19.73%67.31%25.07%45.04%
Dividend Yield--6.64%8.19%9.72%7.23%6.13%7.36%7.19%8.46%4.38%4.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)561.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)519.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.3870.2442.14
Cash Retained (M)42.7742.7742.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.38-70.24-42.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)-69.61-27.470.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.819.819.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share-7.09-2.800.06
LTM Dividend per Share52.9052.9052.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share-7.09-2.800.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend45.8050.1052.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,249.04$10,670.49$11,386.15
Upside / Downside468.69%1,056.07%1,133.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)561.90598.42637.32678.75722.87769.85792.95
Payout Ratio92.39%91.91%91.43%90.96%90.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)519.13550.02582.72617.36654.03692.87733.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)511.98516.83521.69
Year 2 PV (M)504.91514.53524.24
Year 3 PV (M)497.93512.22526.79
Year 4 PV (M)491.03509.91529.34
Year 5 PV (M)484.21507.60531.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,985.5715,709.3816,460.89
Equity Value (M)17,475.6318,270.4819,094.82
Shares Outstanding (M)9.819.819.81
Fair Value$1,780.62$1,861.61$1,945.60
Upside / Downside92.92%101.69%110.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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